US Treasury yields

What US government bonds pay, what the yield curve looks like and what follows from it.

Data as of 23 Oct 2026

10-year yield
5.00%
a month ago 5.11%
2-year yield
4.69%
a month ago 4.85%
30-year yield
5.33%
10Y − 2Y spread
+31 bp
normal shape
What this means now
The yield curve has a normal shape

The 10-year yield is 31 basis points above the 2-year yield and 78 bp above the 3-month yield. A steeper curve means the market does not expect a sharp slowdown.

Bond yields are one of the main drivers of the valuation of stocks and cryptocurrencies: rising yields usually mean pressure on risky assets.

Yield curve

Today, a month ago and a year ago. 1M to 30Y = the bond's maturity.

10-year and 2-year Treasury yield

Over the last 10 years.

Yield spreads (10Y − 2Y and 10Y − 3M)

Below zero the curve is inverted. In percentage points.

Frequently asked questions

What is the yield curve?

A chart of government bond yields by maturity, from one month to thirty years. Normally it slopes upward: a longer loan pays more. The shape of the curve reflects the market's expectations for rates and growth.

What does an inverted curve mean?

Short-term yields are higher than long-term ones. The market expects rates to fall, typically because of a slowing economy. An inversion of the 10-year against the 2-year yield preceded most US recessions, but with a long lag, sometimes two years.

Why do stocks and crypto watch the 10-year yield?

It is the risk-free benchmark rate. When it rises, funding becomes more expensive and risk-free investments more attractive, which weighs on the valuation of stocks and cryptocurrencies. A sharp rise in yields tends to be bad for risky assets.

Sources: US Treasury, FRED. For information only, not investment advice.